I’ve set out in many posts my reasons and evidence for saying a proxy war in Ukraine is being driven by US determination to retain control of a dollarised world in the face of Eurasia rising.
Yes, I’ve been left face-egged on very important detail. I breezily claimed that Russia would not invade Ukraine. On this I’d put too much store in military assessments like that of Paul Craig Roberts, which said Russia need do no such thing. 1 Superiority in missiles would enable her to safeguard her sovereignty – defending ethnic Russians in the Donbass, getting Kiev to honour Minsk II and halting the advance of a hostile alliance the USA would never tolerate on its own borders – without putting boots on the ground. That had me inviting readers, nine days before the invasion, to tell me why in God’s name would Vladimir Putin, Sergey Lavrov, Sergey Shoigu et al want to invade Ukraine?
The Wrong Question. I should have asked, why would they invade Ukraine when they knew the risks? 2 To which my answer should have been that they’d exhausted peaceful responses to a quarter century of lies, insults, broken promises and endless provocation. None of those who share my view of the USA as prime culprit – yet decry Russia’s move – have offered a grown-up account of what else she could have done.
Of course, a vastly larger constituency, too far gone on the Kool-aid to get its collective head around the notion of western culpability, is untroubled by the need for any such account …
I’ve also said that because of a war Washington could halt tonight with minimal concessions to Moscow, should it so wish – it so doesn’t! – the world is moving “closer to the unthinkable than at any time … since Hiroshima and Nagasaki.”
Two observations. One, the public has been so thoroughly sold on the Standing Up To Russia narrative as to be blind to the appalling gamble being taken by those with the best insurance money can buy. 3 Two, three-quarters of a century after America nuked two middling Japanese cities for reasons other than the widely accepted Lesser-of-Two-Evils defence, the nightmare scenario has not, despite close shaves like Cuba ’62 – and two or three others we weren’t told about – materialised. Homo sapiens sapiens being more of a psychological than logical animal, the leap from it hasn’t happened to ergo it won’t happen is a short one.
Especially when aided by the diversions and lies of omission of systemically corrupt media.
These two factors – Wall Street as uniquely responsible for this war, and a Doomsday Clock at 100 seconds to midnight – are fundamental. That said, this post and others in the pipeline will explore secondary but still hugely important aspects of the state we’re in.
For instance the twin themes of this post’s title. Everybody loves a heroes ‘n villains yarn, right? No taxing of the grey cells; nothing so arduous as thinking required. Just grab yourself a coke and bucket of popcorn, and get your ass comfortable for what the good ol’ US of A does best.
Zelensky good …
I don’t know if Zelensky is odious or merely weak. (Weak as in politically. I’ve neither desire nor competence to be drawn into a character assessment of the man who shot to global stardom a little over two months ago, since when we’ve heard more than enough of the I Love Volodymir cult which liberal opinion-shapers have manufactured and are now milking.)
Here’s an exchange below my April 9 post, Ukraine: a military assessment:
bevin – this article, with a simple timeline and very useful maps helps non-experts understand what is happening:
- Not just Paul Craig Roberts but other voices I respect – like the excitable but gifted and well connected Pepe Escobar, a more sober Gilbert Doctorow and the GrayZone’s Aaron Maté – were saying similar. My fault, which I own and mean to learn from, was to suspend my inclination to leave oceans of room for what I don’t and can’t know in the fog of war: hot or cold; direct or proxy.
- Some commentators, Noam Chomsky for instance, have drawn parallels with the USSR’s invasion of Afghanistan. In both cases trouble was stirred by the USA: midwife to Al Qaeda; backer of Ukraine’s neo-Nazis. But where I disagree with Chomsky and others, and with a Zbigniew Brzeziński who bragged of his “Afghan Trap” to give the Soviets “their own Vietnam”, is in saying the Kremlin did see the trap – of DC-funded Islamist resistance to social reforms you and I would say were progressive – and had tried to avoid it, a fact reflected in deep divisions within the Politbureau. When finally Moscow made its move in December 1979, it was with reluctance and foreboding. So while I agree with Chomsky that the parallels with Ukraine are striking, not least that in both cases Russia/USSR was not invading a country halfway across the globe but addressing a threat on her borders – a small detail lost on the pushers of a specious equivalence which denounces both USA and Russia as imperialist – I say he draws the wrong conclusions. He isn’t alone in this.
- See for instance this Forbes piece on billionaire bunker owners preparing for the ultimate underground escape.
- See this AntiWar.com piece of two days ago. It begins: “On Sunday, Congressman Adam Kinzinger (R-IL) announced a new Authorization for Use of Military Force (AUMF). If passed [it] will allow Biden to deploy American troops to defend Ukraine if Russia uses chemical, biological, or nuclear weapons.” Since we know from Iraq and Syria how good America’s neo-cons are at detecting WMDs on zero evidential basis, we should be terrified. Or rather, take comfort in the fact that post Vietnam Americans get antsy when their sons and daughters come home in body bags from far-off lands, and Congressman Kinzinger may therefore be doing little more than grandstanding; parading his hawkish credentials. That can pay dividends a year or two down the line, given that fast revolving door between Capitol Hill and a military-industrial complex which knows how to look after its pet politicians.
- Orientalism, a fancy term for racism, was touched on in a footnote to Ukraine in La La Land. Coined by Palestinian American, Edward Said, it is usually reserved for Arabs and Persians but is equally applicable in a Slavic context: these people are not like us; they gas children and do other terrible things at the drop of a hat …
- See Chapters 10-11 of Naomi Klein’s meticulously documented The Shock Doctrine for what went down on Boris Yeltsin’s watch.