The war in Ukraine will see the most consequential changes since WW2. It will fundamentally alter power relationships in the world. Western dominance will be replaced by a multipolar world. Europe’s prosperity of the past few centuries is likely to end because of short-sighted and poorly-thought-out decisions … primarily the ill-considered economic sanctions Europe has unilaterally applied on Russia, and which have started to boomerang on Europe, with the high probability of things getting much worse in the coming months …
Thanks to Jams O’Donnell for alerting me to this, from Seshadri Kumar (Linked-in profile here) in the southwest Indian State of Karnataka. It’s no two-minute read but the first chapter alone, some 4800 words, is pure gold.
Two massive truths have massively escaped most Westerners, caught up as they are in cheering their heroes and booing their (singular) villain in a simplistic morality tale worthy of Enid Blyton or Ian Fleming.
One, even if the barefaced lies – of omission and commission both – told by corporate media and politicians were true, what is unfolding carries the very real risk of going nuclear.
Two, the poltroons 1 in high office – in or out of the EU – have declared and are escalating an economic war of monumental folly on Russia. A war which not only benefits Washington and Wall Street, at eye watering cost to Europe’s citizens and businesses, but which Europe cannot conceivably win.
It is that second truth which Dr Kumar addresses. Here’s the executive summary and chapter headers for his closely argued, occasionally florid but always riveting assessment of the cross-roads at which Europe now stands …
- I’m thrilled to be giving ‘poltroon’, first encountered in 1968 in a Dennis Wheatley bodice-ripper, its maiden outing on this site. Not that it applies exclusively to Europe’s leaders. See Australian PM, Anthony Albanese, in Canberra on November 30. Ostensibly he was speaking up for Julian Assange – his every word steeped in caveat and disclaimer – but his abject body language was that of a mid-ranking technocrat under pressure against all his instincts to bring to his Washington masters’ attention a distasteful matter sure to incur their displeasure. So is it with all America’s ‘allies’. As I’ve noted before, with friends like Uncle Sam you don’t need enemies. And by the way, I am not “anti-American”. I have good American friends, while in every field of the arts, American creatives – from Mark Twain to Tom Wolf, Miles Davis to Dylan and The Dead, George Gershwin to John Adams, Francis Ford Coppola to Martin Scorcese – have been my most formative influencers and inspirers. (Yes, they’re all blokes. So am I.) More to the point, mine are ultimately class and materialist analyses, not metaphysical takes on national psyches. I note that while values skyrocket for shareholders of Boeing, Lockheed-Martin, Raytheon et al, America’s military industrial complex, besides enforcing empire will, pumps wealth from America’s many to America’s few.
- “… recent reported gains by Ukraine notwithstanding …” As has become clear to anyone watching the conflict through a lens other than that of western corporate media, we are being lied to as much about who has the upper hand as about why the war is happening at all. Truth, after all, is famously the first casualty. (On media inability to speak truthfully on matters vital to power, despite many if not most journalists being subjectively sincere, see Britain decides! and Monolithic control at the Guardian?)
Take the recent Russian withdrawal from Kherson. Here’s what I wrote in footnote 2 to Cheerleading for WW3:
Many saw the withdrawal from Kherson as a turning point. But their position on the banks of the Dnieper exposed 30,000 Russian troops to the danger of deliberate flooding from the massive Kakhovka Reservoir upstream. To what end? To control a largely evacuated city of zero strategic value when Russia is fighting a war of attrition, not territorial conquest. (That’s an alien concept to those who pen Guardian drivel. Ditto Western war strategists who’ve never engaged a peer adversary and whose middle east wars measured success in land taken by their own or proxy forces. Try this discussion between Brian Berletic and Andrei Martyanov, or this interview with US Colonel Douglas McGregor, retired.) Here too those who believe Ukraine is now winning – an opinion not shared by General Mark Milley, Chair of the US Joint Chiefs of Staff – are sorely misled by the know-nothing commentary of Graun, CNN, Economist etc. At root of their fecklessly upbeat assessments is a mix of military ignorance and attributions to “Putin” of goals Moscow never aspired to, before trumpeting Russian ‘failure’ to achieve them.
- “ … in the unlikely event that Russia were to appear likely to lose the war … China will do whatever it takes to prevent such outcomes, to secure its own future …” I made the same point in a November 15 post, Ukraine: more dangerous Guardian drivel:
… anyone looking at this with an iota of clarity and a mental age above thirteen knows that, with Russia defeated in Ukraine, China would be next in line, and vice versa. And that Xi and Putin know it too …